再往下下探一步，btc，sol，eth就都到达了10.11扎大针的最低点，所以这两天的快速下跌可视为是10.11之后正儿八经完整的一次二探针底。因此，10.11大针的最低点初步作为止跌点观察。个人主观上还是希望能在针的最低点附近止跌，因为10.11 btc扎的5日到周线ema52，eth扎的是5日ema52，sol扎的是月线ema30，这些都是属于大级别支撑。在现阶段不大可能一次直接跌穿，因为跌穿后，就深不见底。个人认为起码要留在12月日本加息后再升级进一步加速调整。
举个例子，eth 3440-3372是个缓冲带，这里是保护3000关口的最强区间，跌破后就会回踩3222、3112和3072，这三个都是弱支撑，抵挡都是象征性的，也就是说3440-3372跌破后，3000直面跌破的威胁。而3000跌破，2700就面临跌破的威胁。2700跌破，就直接奔去2112了，中间600点没有强支撑。所以个人认为不会走得这么快。3000以上应该会斡旋1个月左右、不上不下持久放烟雾弹，最后再在利空放出后直接跌破。我们可以复盘一下今年2月初日本加息后的走势就可以很清晰，eth在日本加息前从4k回踩下来，在3300-3000盘旋了一段时间，日本加息一落地，2月初那天早上一下就从3200扎大针到2200附近。一天扎了1000点。想必很多人都深刻记得。我没记错的话，那天是大年初六。
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