bullish on onchain fixed income product with offchain L/S futures carry trade
One of the most important themes in the next 12 months will be widening crypto credit spreads to falling risk free rates, discussed 45min in the link below.
DeFi in the last cycle lived in a vacuum with no real connective tissue to legacy fixed income markets. Now as rates fall and crypto native spreads widen there are a variety of vehicles through which dollars will effortlessly enter DeFi on a scale that dwarfs 2021.
I expect to see several ETPs on the underlying and DATs focused on raising accretive debt financing to deploy into DeFi in order to monetize the spread. This will be a $50-100b TradFi to DeFi carry trade.
Some tokens are mechanically levered to this trade:
$AAVE $PENDLE $SPK $SYRUP being the most obvious
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