I just urgently sold 62% of my $BTC and $ETH bag.
Most will think I’m crazy for what I’m about to do…
But I’ve seen this exact setup in 2017 and 2021.
Here’s why I’m selling everything before October ends.
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1/
I’m still bullish on the market for now — but my plan is to fully exit by the end of October.
BTC has already done a clean 2x from this year’s lows, backed by strong momentum and institutional demand.
ETH has broken and held above $4,200, setting up for a final leg higher in the coming weeks.
The setup is strong now, but every cycle ends the same way — fast, brutal, and unforgiving when the top hits.
2/
My short-term target for ETH is $5,800–$6,000 if momentum holds.
That’s a full 3x from the cycle lows, in line with historical mid-cycle extension levels.
Once ETH peaks, I expect capital to rotate quickly — first into high caps, then into low caps.
This is where the biggest altseason gains happen… but also the most dangerous phase of the cycle.
3/
The BTC → ETH → high cap → alt rotation has played out in both 2017 and 2021 without fail.
We’re now in the ETH dominance stage — euphoria is high, liquidity is maxed out.
This stage usually lasts only weeks before liquidity drains from the market entirely.
If you’re not planning your exit now, you’re setting yourself up to be someone else’s exit liquidity.
4/
I expect BTC to start showing signs of topping in late September, with ETH following shortly after
By end of October, BTC could be in the $55K range, ETH back to $1,400, and SOL near $75
This is not a bearish prediction - it’s simply how post-peak corrections have played out historically
Smart money rotates out months before retail realizes the game is over
5/
The reason I’m planning my exits now is because markets don’t give you time to react when momentum dies
Alts can drop 20-30% in a single day and never recover their highs again for the rest of the cycle
Once liquidity dries up, founders disappear, narratives collapse, and support levels fail instantly
If you’re not selling into strength, you’re selling into panic - and that’s never profitable
6/
Key metrics like NUPL, SOPR, and MVRV have reliably signaled tops in every past cycle
NUPL at +0.75 shows extreme unrealized profit levels across holders - a major warning sign
SOPR turning negative shows coins are being sold at a loss after euphoria peaks
MVRV deep red means the market value is far above the cost basis - unsustainable for long
7/
I’ll also be watching BTC dominance closely - when it breaks down while ETH is peaking, altseason goes into blow-off top mode
Altseason Index above 65 is another trigger that the final speculative wave is here
This phase looks bullish but is actually the most dangerous part of the market
The smartest players exit while it still feels like they could have made more
8/
My strategy is to sell in stages rather than try to time the exact top
Step 1 - Take profits on the riskiest alts first, especially memes and low liquidity plays
Step 2 - Exit high caps like SOL, AVAX, and MATIC during peak rotation days
Step 3 - Scale out of ETH and BTC into stables and yield positions before mid-October
9/
I’m bullish now because the rate cut in September will be a short-term catalyst for crypto
Liquidity injections will fuel the final leg of the rally, creating sharp upward moves across the board
But that rally will be fast - weeks, not months - which means exit planning is critical now
Waiting until it “feels right” will almost always mean you’ve waited too long
10/
The biggest mistake traders make is thinking there will always be another bounce after the first drop
A -10% correction becomes -30%, then -50%, and by then you’re locked in for years of waiting
I’ve made that mistake myself - it’s why I now sell into strength instead of weakness
Bear markets start instantly, not gradually
11/
You don’t have to sell everything at once - scaling out keeps you in the game if price keeps going higher
The goal is to leave with life-changing profits, not to perfectly time an uncatchable top
If you’re up 20x, holding for 22x is gambling with your future
Secure what you’ve made before the market takes it back
12/
The top will feel like the most bullish moment of the cycle - record exchange volumes, ATH headlines, and nonstop hype
That’s exactly when the smartest money will be unloading their positions
If you want to be in that group, you need to prepare before October
Because when the music stops, it will be too late to find a chair
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