I just urgently sold 62% of my $BTC and $ETH bag. Most will think I’m crazy for what I’m about to do… But I’ve seen this exact setup in 2017 and 2021. Here’s why I’m selling everything before October ends.
Before we dive in — giving away free $SOL to my followers 🤝 To join: Like this post RT & Bookmark Comment your wallet under the FIRST tweet 👆
1/ I’m still bullish on the market for now — but my plan is to fully exit by the end of October. BTC has already done a clean 2x from this year’s lows, backed by strong momentum and institutional demand. ETH has broken and held above $4,200, setting up for a final leg higher in the coming weeks. The setup is strong now, but every cycle ends the same way — fast, brutal, and unforgiving when the top hits.
2/ My short-term target for ETH is $5,800–$6,000 if momentum holds. That’s a full 3x from the cycle lows, in line with historical mid-cycle extension levels. Once ETH peaks, I expect capital to rotate quickly — first into high caps, then into low caps. This is where the biggest altseason gains happen… but also the most dangerous phase of the cycle.
3/ The BTC → ETH → high cap → alt rotation has played out in both 2017 and 2021 without fail. We’re now in the ETH dominance stage — euphoria is high, liquidity is maxed out. This stage usually lasts only weeks before liquidity drains from the market entirely. If you’re not planning your exit now, you’re setting yourself up to be someone else’s exit liquidity.
4/ I expect BTC to start showing signs of topping in late September, with ETH following shortly after By end of October, BTC could be in the $55K range, ETH back to $1,400, and SOL near $75 This is not a bearish prediction - it’s simply how post-peak corrections have played out historically Smart money rotates out months before retail realizes the game is over
5/ The reason I’m planning my exits now is because markets don’t give you time to react when momentum dies Alts can drop 20-30% in a single day and never recover their highs again for the rest of the cycle Once liquidity dries up, founders disappear, narratives collapse, and support levels fail instantly If you’re not selling into strength, you’re selling into panic - and that’s never profitable
6/ Key metrics like NUPL, SOPR, and MVRV have reliably signaled tops in every past cycle NUPL at +0.75 shows extreme unrealized profit levels across holders - a major warning sign SOPR turning negative shows coins are being sold at a loss after euphoria peaks MVRV deep red means the market value is far above the cost basis - unsustainable for long
7/ I’ll also be watching BTC dominance closely - when it breaks down while ETH is peaking, altseason goes into blow-off top mode Altseason Index above 65 is another trigger that the final speculative wave is here This phase looks bullish but is actually the most dangerous part of the market The smartest players exit while it still feels like they could have made more
8/ My strategy is to sell in stages rather than try to time the exact top Step 1 - Take profits on the riskiest alts first, especially memes and low liquidity plays Step 2 - Exit high caps like SOL, AVAX, and MATIC during peak rotation days Step 3 - Scale out of ETH and BTC into stables and yield positions before mid-October
9/ I’m bullish now because the rate cut in September will be a short-term catalyst for crypto Liquidity injections will fuel the final leg of the rally, creating sharp upward moves across the board But that rally will be fast - weeks, not months - which means exit planning is critical now Waiting until it “feels right” will almost always mean you’ve waited too long
10/ The biggest mistake traders make is thinking there will always be another bounce after the first drop A -10% correction becomes -30%, then -50%, and by then you’re locked in for years of waiting I’ve made that mistake myself - it’s why I now sell into strength instead of weakness Bear markets start instantly, not gradually
11/ You don’t have to sell everything at once - scaling out keeps you in the game if price keeps going higher The goal is to leave with life-changing profits, not to perfectly time an uncatchable top If you’re up 20x, holding for 22x is gambling with your future Secure what you’ve made before the market takes it back
12/ The top will feel like the most bullish moment of the cycle - record exchange volumes, ATH headlines, and nonstop hype That’s exactly when the smartest money will be unloading their positions If you want to be in that group, you need to prepare before October Because when the music stops, it will be too late to find a chair
8,078
1
本页面内容由第三方提供。除非另有说明,欧易不是所引用文章的作者,也不对此类材料主张任何版权。该内容仅供参考,并不代表欧易观点,不作为任何形式的认可,也不应被视为投资建议或购买或出售数字资产的招揽。在使用生成式人工智能提供摘要或其他信息的情况下,此类人工智能生成的内容可能不准确或不一致。请阅读链接文章,了解更多详情和信息。欧易不对第三方网站上的内容负责。包含稳定币、NFTs 等在内的数字资产涉及较高程度的风险,其价值可能会产生较大波动。请根据自身财务状况,仔细考虑交易或持有数字资产是否适合您。